Source modelling and stress transfer scenarios of the October 30, 2020 
Samos earthquake: seismotectonic implications

SOTIRIS SBORAS; ILIAS LAZOS; STYLIANOS BITHARIS; CHRISTOS PIKRIDAS; DIMITRIOS GALANAKIS; ARISTEIDIS FOTIOU; ALEXANDROS CHATZIPETROS; SPYROS PAVLIDES

Source modelling and stress transfer scenarios of the October 30, 2020 Samos earthquake: seismotectonic implications

Authors: SOTIRIS SBORAS, ILIAS LAZOS, STYLIANOS BITHARIS, CHRISTOS PIKRIDAS, DIMITRIOS GALANAKIS, ARISTEIDIS FOTIOU, ALEXANDROS CHATZIPETROS, SPYROS PAVLIDES

Abstract: On October 30, 2020, a strong earthquake (M_w6.6-7.0) occurred offshore, just north of Samos Island, causing life losses, injuries and damages, especially on the Turkish side. The broader area is characterized by a complex geodynamic setting with both rich seismic history and numerous active faults of different direction and kinematics. The first aim of this study is to define the seismic source of the mainshock, based on seismological and geodetic data (GPS measurements and originally processed GNSS records), as well as our field observations on Samos Island few days after the mainshock. The integration of this information leads to a N-dipping normal fault (Kaystrios fault) that controls the central-northern coast of Samos Island. We modelled the seismic source and calculated the theoretical dislocation (using the Okada formulae) on the surrounding GPS/GNSS stations, comparing it with the measured values. The results are very encouraging, especially on the station installed on Samos Island, giving confidence to our source model. We then used our seismic source to study the spatiotemporal evolution of the aftershock sequence by exploiting published seismological data (focal mechanisms and two seismic catalogues, one of which with relocated hypocentres) and our calculated Coulomb static stress changes caused by the mainshock. This comparison suggests that more faults than the Kaystrios fault were involved in the aftershock sequence. In order to investigate possible triggering and/or delay scenarios of the mainshock on nearby faults, the Coulomb stress changes are also studied showing various results according to each receiver fault.

Keywords: 2020 Samos seismic sequence, seismotectonics, fault modelling, dislocation, Coulomb stress changes, Aegean

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